The approach taken in this document consists of taking account of an Air Traffic Management (ATM) point of view, demonstrating that a human-piloted trajectory was possible (and indeed likely) and checking that such a trajectory would be allowed by B777 performance and its modes of operation. This document presents an analysis based on results already published by the scientific community but considering that the `ight was humanly controlled and piloted until the end. (Video illustration).
A straight line trajectory, i.e. constant speed and constant track direction (great circle), minimizes the number of trajectory variables to be considered. Based upon the geometry of the system (the aircraft and the satellites i.e. the actual one and the virtual one), we analysed the BFOR behaviour as function of speed, track direction, position and time. We also came up with an analytic formula for the Inmarsat compatible straight line trajectories crossing Arc2. All these numerous trajectories starting at latitude 5.8°N down to 3.35°S at Arc2 are equally probable and the resulting likely latitude at Arc7 is circa [~31°S;~39°S] which have been unsuccessfully searched.
MH370 - A New Theory as to What Went Wrong in ATCA’s The Journal of Air Traffic Control, Winter 2019 Issue
Questions & Answers on CAPTIO trajectory – English (6 Sept. 2018) This documents answers to questions received since January 2018. It provides additional information for understanding the solid foundation of the identified trajectory.
Questions-Réponses sur la trajectoire CAPTIO – French (4 Sept. 2018) Ce document répond aux questions reçues depuis janvier 2018. Il présente aussi des informations complémentaires démontrant la solidité de la trajectoire déterminée par l’étude CAPTIO.